Speed ratings for top 7 are from New England Qualifying Meets
Vermont:
CVU- 180, 176, 171, 168, 168, 148 and 147 Spread 1-5 = :37
St. Johnsbury - 176, 174, 170, 160, 158, 140 and 140 Spread 1-5 = :54
New Hampshire:
Hanover - 183, 171, 171, 167, 159, 145 and 134 Spread 1-5 = 1:14
Coe Brown - 171, 171, 163, 162, 159, 153 and 138 Spread 1-5 = :37
Pinkerton - 178, 165, 161, 153, 153, 149 and 144 Spread 1-5 = 1:17
Connecticut:
Xavier - 179, 176, 172, 163 and 155 **183 or 182 would have been the rating on their #1 who was a DQ**. Spread 1-5 = 1:12
Greenwich - 176, 167, 165, 165, 162, 162 and 154 Spread 1-5 = :44
Rhode Island:
Bishop Hendricken - 185, 183, 180, 174, 171, 169 and 160 Spread 1-5 = :42
Barrington - 177, 176, 172, 160, 156, 149 and 149 Spread 1-5 = 1:01
Maine:
Yarmouth(state champion) - 167, 163, 161, 158, 141, 134 and 123 Spread 1-5 = 1:17
When looking at the boys race one thing clearly stands out. If races were won on paper then the champion would already be crowned but we all know that is not the case. Bishop Hendricken comes into this New England Championship ranked #16 in the US and #2 in the Northeast. On paper they are the clear favorites but behind them there are plenty of teams that on any given day could put themselves in the mix for the win or a podium spot. If Hendricken does reign supreme there is still going to be a great race for the final 2 spots on the podium and that should provide plenty of entertainment.
Bishop Hendricken(RI) is the favorite on paper. They won their State Championship with 27 points in dominant fashion. They have their high national ranking and regional ranking as part of their resume and they have the experience of being the team champions last year. They are led by a dynamic duo in sr Colby Flynn(state champ 15:21) and jr Shepherd Butler(4th 15:32) who normally give Hendricken an early team advantage because they are two very low sticks. They are followed closely by sr Andrew Williams(6th place 15:42) and jr Oliver Redmond(9th 15:59). They close out their scoring with a very solid soph Luke Tremble(16:08), sr Jeremey Dru(16:15) and jr Colton Orr(16:41). Their 1-7 depth is not matched by any other team in the field. They will be looking to match their 2011 and 2012 teams and win back to back New England Championships.
The next contenders all can make argument that they deserve to be in the mix for the team championship or a podium spot. Champlain Valley(VT) has proven all season that they should be considered a legitimate threat in this race. They have experience with 4 of their top 5 being seniors and being part of the 5th place team from last year's race. Ben Holoch is the clear leader of the squad and was the VT state champion in 16:26 on the challenging Thetford course. Ben was an All New England runners last year so has the experience of running in the lead pack to help provide the CVU squad a solid low number. After Ben the teams strength has been the ability to have a very tidy 1-5 spread. Usually when one comes in the other 4 are not that far behind. At the VT State Meet their spread from 1-5 was a very impressive 37 seconds. sr Cole Hart and sr Treson McEnaney are consistently the next two Redhawks to cross the line and have been solid in those spots all season. Not to be overlooked are the 4 and 5 runners of sr Jack Snyder and fr Royal Ricklefs. These two close the door on their team scoring and the ever improving Ricklefs has helped the Redhawks be in a podium position.
Xavier(CT) should definitely be in the mix. They had the unfortunate DQ of their top runner at the CT State Open last week so if people are only looking at the race results they are missing one of the best runners in the entire New England field. When you add in jr Quentin Koch into their scoring 5 they are a legitimate threat in this race. Without the DQ Koch would have finished 2nd in the race and would have impacted their team score significantly. It would have turned a close team race into a much more comfortable victory. After Koch jr Holden Hines was 4th in 16:11 at the State Open. He along with jr James Perrault(8th 16:22) gives Xavier a top 3 that competes with most teams in the field. The jr laden squad then has Alex Brown(17:00) and Jackson Gould(17:23) to close out their top 5. Xavier definitely has the fire power to be in the mix.
New Hampshire has a couple of teams that on any given day could be in the mix this Saturday. The top team to watch is probably Hanover. They won the Meet of Champions last weekend averaging 15:44 and they have the power at the top of their lineup to put them in the mix. Senior Ben Groves won the MOC in 15:05 and should be in the top pack of the field. Following Groves is a tight pack of three. Dyland Faris soph(15:42), Teddy White fr(15:43) and jr Isaac McNaughton(15:53) came in a nice and tidy 11 seconds apart at the MOC. That is necessary in races of this caliber for your team to be in the mix. Their scoring should be closed out by Alexander Collins jr(16:19). Hanover's fate may be determined by if they can move forward just a little bit on the fast course in Belfast.
Coe Brown in the next NH squad that should be in the mix. They bring the experience of a surprise 4th place finish at last year's New England Championship and a tight 1-5 spread that could overcome the lack of one of the top front runners in the field. They will be relying on having a high quality 1-5 spread to be in the mix. Their spread at MOC was :37 and that is what they will need to do again to be successful on Saturday. The Black Bears are led by the brother duo of Patrick Youngs jr(15:41) and Samuel Youngs soph(15:41). They then were followed closely by the trio of Gus Glaser sr(16:05), Broden Cox soph(16:10) and Mateo Ferguson soph(16:18). Their ability to compete for a podium spot will be can they keep it tight and how high up can they get that tight 1-5 group.
Pinkerton(NH) could also be a team that could poke their nose into the mix. They were 3rd at MOC but has shown that on any given weekend they can perform at a level that could make them a team to contend with. Pinkerton is led by a trio of seniors in Jason Robie(15:20), Oscar D'Amelio(15:59) and Joseph Gustavson(16:10). For them to move into the top contender conversation they will need to close down their 1-5 spread of 1:17. If they can do it they could be in the mix.
Yarmouth of Maine will be defending home turf. They were the overall Maine state champions and will be trying to show that their local knowledge can help propel them into the mix. They are led by Jackie Chalmers jr(16:36), Bowen Mitchell jr(16:47) and Eli Chalmers jr(16:53).
The boys race should be a fun one. With all of these great teams in the mix it could come down to who can close the final mile the strongest and every point in that final mad dash could be the difference. If Hendricken can hold their spot and defend the crown there still should be an amazing race behind them for the final podium and top 5 spots. If Hendricken is off or slips up in any way there are a number of teams that will be trying to put themselves in position to take advantage of that mistake. This one could be a barn burner!
Ben Holoch CVU 16:26.7 180
John Thornton-Sherman St Johnsbury 16:37.9 176
Cole Hart CVU 16:38.3 176
Joel Thornton-Sherman StJohnsbury 16:43.8 174
Liam Fitzgerald Colchester 16:47.2 173
Nico Delena Stowe 16:50.6 172
Treson McEnaney CVU 16:53.9 171
Bryan Stocker St Johnsbury 16:56.4 170
1 Ben Groves SR Hanover HS 15:05.2 183
2 Ethan Fischer JR Bishop Guertin 15:07.2 183
3 Jason Robie SR Pinkerton 15:20.2 178
4 Patrick Youngs JR Coe-Brown 15:41.0 171
5 Samuel Youngs SO Coe-Brown 15:41.4 171
6 Dylan Faris SO Hanover HS 15:42.2 171
7 Teddy White FR Hanover HS 15:43.1 171
8 Elijah Bodanza SR Fall Mountain 15:46.3 170
1 Tycen LaBelle SR Griswold 15:37.60 190
2 Zackary O'Toole SR Stratford 16:02.20 182
3 Nico Cardello JR East Lyme 16:02.80 182
4 Holden Hines JR Xavier (CT) 16:11.60 179
5 Gabriel White SR E.O. Smith 16:18.20 177
6 Vihaan Kamath SR Greenwich 16:20.30 176
7 Alex Martin-Casas SR Hall 16:22.00 176
8 James Perrault JR Xavier (CT) 16:22.20 176
9 Edward Kushel SR Fairfield Warde 16:28.10 174
10 Paul Sullivan SR Wilton 16:28.60 173
11 Connor Dube JR Fitch 16:28.90 173
12 Orion Lowery SR Newtown 16:29.60 173
13 Alexander Bianchi JR Ellington 16:30.20 173
1 Colby Flynn SR Bishop Hendricken High School 15:26.51 185
2 Will Souza SR La Salle Academy 15:30.90 184
3 Leo Woodman SR Providence Country Day 15:31.95 183
4 Shepherd Butler JR Bishop Hendricken High School 15:32.56 183
5 Matthew Lewis SR La Salle Academy 15:37.29 182
6 Andrew Williams SR Bishop Hendricken High School 15:42.92 180
7 Brooks Mello SR Barrington High School 15:52.19 177
8 Colby Napolitano SR Barrington High School 15:54.84 176
9 Oliver Redmond JR Bishop Hendricken High School 15:59.49 174
10 Ryan Hurlock JR Barrington High School 16:05.24 172
11 Luke Tremble SO Bishop Hendricken High School 16:08.91 171
1 Atticus Merriam Scarborough 16:06.78 177
2 William Morris Dirigo 16:18.47 173
3 Mateo Diaz Falmouth 16:19.79 172
4 Samuel Bergmark Bangor 16:26.84 170
5 Pierce Gorneault Caribou 16:26.85 170
Tycen LaBelle Griswold 190
Colby Flynn Bishop Hendricken High School 185
Will Souza La Salle Academy 184
Ben Groves Hanover HS 183
Ethan Fischer Bishop Guertin 183
Leo Woodman Providence Country Day 183
Shepherd Butler Bishop Hendricken High School 183
Zackary O'Toole Stratford 182
Nico Cardello East Lyme 182
Matthew Lewis La Salle Academy 182
Ben Holoch CVU 180
Andrew Williams Bishop Hendricken High School 180
Holden Hines Xavier (CT) 179
Jason Robie Pinkerton 178
Gabriel White E.O. Smith 177
Brooks Mello Barrington High School 177
Atticus Merriam Scarborough 177
John Thornton-Sherman St Johnsbury 176
Cole Hart CVU 176
Vihaan Kamath Greenwich 176
Alex Martin-Casas Hall 176
James Perrault Xavier (CT) 176
Colby Napolitano Barrington High School 176
Joel Thornton-Sherman StJohnsbury 174
Edward Kushel Fairfield Warde 174
Oliver Redmond Bishop Hendricken High School 174
**STATE MEET DQ CT = Quentin Koch Xavier CT 182 or 183**
The boys individual race is once again loaded with talent. One of the things that is always interesting to think about with this is who is on a team in contention for the team title and who is running for the individual title only. This can determine the risk that some runners can take to try and win the individual race. The course could also play into this a little bit. With the course being fairly flat and fast it could definitely lead to more runners staying in contact with the top part of the race than on a course with more challenging terrain.
The favorite on paper has to be Tycen LaBelle(Griswold CT). Tycen won the CT State Open last week in a commanding performance and is one of the toughest racers out there. He is the top returning individual from last year and finished 3rd at Thetford. He has the experience and he keeps showing he has the toughness to win this race. Battling with Tycen for that top spot should be RI state champion Colby Flynn(Hendricken) and RI runner up Will Souza(LaSalle). They were separated by 4 seconds last weekend and clearly will be in the mix. Along with the RI duo there should be the top 2 from NH also right there. Ben Groves(Hanover) and Ethan Fischer(Bishop Guertin) went 1st and 2nd at the NH MOC and were separated by 5 seconds in that race. I will admit that I almost did what many people might do.....I forgot Quentin Koch(Xavier CT). A very unfortunate, in my opinion, disqualification will maybe have many forgetting about Quentin. Forgetting about him could be a mistake. Before his DQ Quentin had finished 2nd in the CT State Open and the week before was 3rd in the Divisional races in 15:50. These six should be somewhere in the mix for the top spot but they are not the only ones with a shot!
This is a very deep individual field and the next group that will be right there, if not in the mix, is composed of another seven runners at least. The next RI contingent is led by Leo Woodman(Providence Country Day/15:31), Shepherd Butler(Hendricken/15:32), Matthew Lewis(LaSalle/15:37) and Andrew Williams(Hendricken/15:42). A CT duo of Zackary O'Toole(Stratford/16:02) and Nico Cardello(East Lyme/16:02) and VT State Champion Ben Holoch(CVU/16:26) should also be in this pack. This is where some of the team situations start to come into play. Out of these top 2 groups of individuals at least six of these runners are on teams that are in contention for the team title. This could impact how they react in the race because if they push too hard and make a bad racing decision it could impact their team's results and not just their own individual result.
The next group are all runners that are going to be battling for All New England spots and to make sure that if anything happens with the top group that they are in position to take advantage of that. This is a very deep field of runners so on any given day any of this group could be in contention for a spot in the top 10. This group should consist of Holden Hines(Xavier CT/16:11), Jason Robie(Pinkerton NH/15:20), Gabriel White(EO Smith CT/16:18), Brooks Mello(Barrington RI/15:52), Atticus Merriam(Scarborough ME/16:06), John Thornton-Sherman(St Johnsbury VT/16:37), Cole Hart(CVU VT/16:38), Vihaan Kamath(Greenwich CT/16:20), Alex Martin-Casas(Hall CT/16:22), James Perrault(Xavier CT/16:22) and Colby Napolitano(Barrington RI/15:58). All of the runners in this group have the ability to make the All New England team and to move themselves forward into the top pack of this race.
This boys race could be a fun one. There is a large pack of runners that could put themselves into the mix and on any given day a number of these runners have the ability to push for the top spot. Tycen LaBelle should be considered the favorite but there is a gaggle of guys behind him who will be trying to knock him off. The course could help keep a bigger group together for longer and when that happens all bets are off. It could come down to someone just feeling better than their peers on that day. The tactics in the race will be fun to watch and this has the making of a great race that could come down to the last stretch. Hopefully the weather will hold out and that the course will be in great shape for an amazing race. Good luck to everyone racing and have the best day that you can have!